Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.564809 0.641132 0.722563 0.815754 0.919289 1.030624 1.159241
2025-09-14 0.434267 0.537358 0.655586 0.800549 0.972800 1.170203 1.412774
2025-09-21 0.349545 0.468780 0.614946 0.805715 1.046349 1.337879 1.715636
2025-09-28 0.277436 0.402035 0.564776 0.789960 1.090041 1.472340 1.991728
2025-10-05 0.238895 0.371387 0.554579 0.821495 1.194606 1.690904 2.392766
2025-10-12 0.207888 0.345279 0.545597 0.851647 1.298399 1.916044 2.821088
2025-10-19 0.176764 0.313220 0.522681 0.857560 1.366807 2.096699 3.201919
2025-10-26 0.150774 0.284372 0.499779 0.859222 1.427059 2.268429 3.581235
2025-11-02 0.129394 0.259204 0.478579 0.859752 1.483747 2.437193 3.966376
2025-11-09 0.111559 0.236940 0.458636 0.858948 1.536607 2.602164 4.355225
2025-11-16 0.097148 0.218318 0.442045 0.861003 1.592845 2.774655 4.765170
2025-11-23 0.083566 0.198772 0.420873 0.851994 1.628549 2.915351 5.132261
2025-11-30 0.074414 0.186838 0.412589 0.865748 1.705512 3.130441 5.636493
2025-12-07 0.063984 0.170191 0.392853 0.855791 1.739333 3.275594 6.035117
2025-12-14 0.056892 0.159661 0.383840 0.865104 1.808416 3.484932 6.553665
2025-12-21 0.048773 0.145033 0.364124 0.850706 1.831507 3.614950 6.943835
2025-12-28 0.045517 0.141816 0.368566 0.885885 1.951834 3.925014 7.664415
2026-01-04 0.042411 0.138374 0.371985 0.919085 2.070616 4.239101 8.408781
2026-01-11 0.037963 0.130366 0.363712 0.926033 2.137203 4.460582 8.998352
2026-01-18 0.033788 0.122202 0.353853 0.928206 2.193810 4.666173 9.569211
2026-01-25 0.030057 0.114492 0.343952 0.929019 2.247255 4.868312 10.143520
2026-02-01 0.026709 0.107174 0.333937 0.928313 2.297040 5.065711 10.718355
2026-02-08 0.023888 0.100868 0.325617 0.930610 2.353188 5.278346 11.332165